Analysis and News
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Crypto Cycle is Bottoming
Bitcoin remains in deep value after five months below key investor cost bases. Long-term holder capitulation is accelerating while ETF flows stay negative. Derivatives have de-risked but the options surface retains a defensive tilt. The bottoming process is advancing, but not yet complete.
As we wrote previously, second leg down took place in June, as we believe this month may have a rally relief, however at the end of summer into fall we may have the final leg lower which will bring the true bottom of the cycle.